Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.144291 0.170741 0.200296 0.235717 0.276957 0.323404 0.379623
2024-12-22 0.100230 0.133314 0.174411 0.228985 0.299303 0.386583 0.502830
2024-12-29 0.078737 0.114898 0.163717 0.233934 0.331738 0.462439 0.649501
2025-01-05 0.062642 0.098909 0.151442 0.232228 0.352266 0.522722 0.781419
2025-01-12 0.050261 0.085130 0.138884 0.226551 0.364358 0.570590 0.899758
2025-01-19 0.040788 0.073667 0.127312 0.219574 0.372123 0.611353 1.010628
2025-01-26 0.035609 0.068117 0.123903 0.224467 0.398299 0.682283 1.175018
2025-02-02 0.031131 0.062859 0.119945 0.227461 0.421119 0.749637 1.340305
2025-02-09 0.027146 0.057715 0.115245 0.228179 0.439620 0.811169 1.501736
2025-02-16 0.024140 0.053882 0.112265 0.231395 0.462599 0.882330 1.686649
2025-02-23 0.022201 0.051843 0.112347 0.240280 0.496887 0.976796 1.922344
2025-03-02 0.018949 0.046401 0.104773 0.232867 0.498735 1.011481 2.051052
2025-03-09 0.016865 0.043235 0.101554 0.234166 0.518534 1.083189 2.259421
2025-03-16 0.014698 0.039471 0.096476 0.230814 0.528427 1.136800 2.438618
2025-03-23 0.013469 0.037740 0.095646 0.236606 0.558228 1.233109 2.712505
2025-03-30 0.011932 0.034924 0.091847 0.235070 0.571770 1.297221 2.926606
2025-04-06 0.010373 0.031732 0.086618 0.229370 0.575141 1.340008 3.099885
2025-04-13 0.008967 0.028662 0.081179 0.222321 0.574394 1.373571 3.256306
2025-04-20 0.008289 0.027544 0.080583 0.227275 0.602694 1.474201 3.569763
2025-04-27 0.007601 0.026252 0.079315 0.230304 0.626629 1.567213 3.874748
2025-05-04 0.006898 0.024771 0.077290 0.231031 0.644863 1.648731 4.160915
2025-05-11 0.006359 0.023699 0.076249 0.234284 0.669940 1.748822 4.499720
2025-05-18 0.006050 0.023332 0.077209 0.243273 0.711111 1.891653 4.953234